10,000 EVs in the ACT

[bje]

On Monday (9 December 2024), the ACT reached 10,000 battery electric vehicles. Rejoice!

[bje]

And, if anyone is out there, the ACT crossed 3% of all registered vehicles being EVs on 23 December.

[T1 Terry]

And, if anyone is out there, the ACT crossed 3% of all registered vehicles being EVs on 23 December.

How long did it take to get to the 3% of all registered vehicles?

Is the change accelerating with so many EVs to choose from now and the price difference between ICE and EV narrowing?

What is the major barrier, do you think, that has stopped a much larger percentage of vehicle owners swapping their ICE powered vehicles to EV?

T1 Terry

[jonescg]

After spending a week with my parents and their friends of similar vintage, I'd say its a combination of:

● The vehicle they really want doesn't come in electric (sadly, they want EV 4x4s capable of towing embarrassingly large caravans around the country)
● They already have a new ICE vehicle but they don't drive all that much, and/or are close to shuffling off their mortal coils, so are holding off.
● They have serious misgivings about something new which they don't completely understand.

For they most part, they accept price is not the barrier it once was, but servicing new/different vehicles in regional Australia takes a leap of faith.

[T1 Terry]

After spending a week with my parents and their friends of similar vintage, I'd say its a combination of:

● The vehicle they really want doesn't come in electric (sadly, they want EV 4x4s capable of towing embarrassingly large caravans around the country)
● They already have a new ICE vehicle but they don't drive all that much, and/or are close to shuffling off their mortal coils, so are holding off.
● They have serious misgivings about something new which they don't completely understand.

For they most part, they accept price is not the barrier it once was, but servicing new/different vehicles in regional Australia takes a leap of faith.

That is the one very few understand until they run into a problem. To get a late model anything up and running if it has died, it needs to go to a major city via what ever transport method available, to sort out why it stopped, then make it go again. You don't have to get very far out of the major metro areas to run into the great knowledge drought once it comes to anything that runs on "fly by wire" whether it be petrol, diesel or EV.

Many still have the belief that a diesel engine will run for a million kms, some truck engines might, as long as you keep on top of the servicing and that includes injector replacement and regular computer interrogation to make certain all the sensors are telling the truth.
Smaller diesel engines mum and dad drive, need all that plus,
inlet port cleaning
EGR cooler cleaning and the whole EGR system being stripped and cleaned out
plastic sumps being replaced because they fail and the oil pickup is actually glued into the base, so it can't be cleaned
variable cam timing solenoids serviced regularly so the valves don't end up hitting the pistons
.... and the latest piece of insanity, rubber V belt oil pump drives emersed in the oiling spray from the multiple timing chains
...... top up with the wrong oil and you have no warranty

The chances of being stranded in the outback with a late model ICE are far higher compared to a late model EV ..... If they want to go off the beaten track, then the issues start to arise. If they are the average caravan park jumpers, no problems, if they are free campers, then they need a good solar system and plenty of time to stop and recharge as required.

T1 Terry

[bje]

How long did it take to get to the 3% of all registered vehicles?

A bit under five years.

Is the change accelerating with so many EVs to choose from now and the price difference between ICE and EV narrowing?

No, the growth in sales is slowing just like everywhere.

[T1 Terry]

How long did it take to get to the 3% of all registered vehicles?

A bit under five years.

Is the change accelerating with so many EVs to choose from now and the price difference between ICE and EV narrowing?

No, the growth in sales is slowing just like everywhere.

That step in the Bell curve between early adopters and the early majority perhaps?
https://www.evolveagility.com/technolog ... the-chasm/ is an over view of Geoffery Moore's book, Crossing the Chasm .... having run headlong into that chasm a number of times, a solid base soon shifts the momentum where is small penetration into the market share generally results in using up the open minded and the nay sayers winning out ..... I doubt this will be the case with EV uptake ..... much like the transition from horse and cart to the automobile, flooding the market with affordable options forced the infrastructure to change ..... If Niccola Tesla had put his efforts in a different direction and developed small motors that doubled as generators, the ICE market might have been more focused on small capacity high power engines and the ICE powered automobile might have been squeezed out by the steam car and hybrid EVs while battery technology caught up ......

T1 Terry